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Photo: SuperAgronom.com
The Ukrainian Grain Association predicts a harvest of grain and oilseed crops in 2026 at the level of 84.6 million tons. The estimate has increased by 1 million tons compared to the previous forecast due to favorable weather conditions and sufficient moisture, and consequently – a better expected yield of early crops.
The published forecast indicates that with such a harvest, exports in the new 2026/2027 season could potentially reach almost 52 million tons (last season’s export was 41.1 million tons).
“However, this optimistic scenario is possible only if Ukraine’s logistical problems are resolved, namely – the full restoration of the operation of Ukraine’s deep-water ports of Greater Odesa and an end to constant Russian bombings of Ukrainian transport infrastructure and energy, as well as ships entering Ukrainian ports,” emphasize UZA experts.
- The wheat harvest in 2026 is estimated by UZA at 23.7 million tons (in 2025 – 22.5 million tons). Potential wheat exports in 2025/2026 marketing year could reach 18 million tons (last season – 14 million tons).
- The barley harvest in 2026, according to UZA’s estimate, will be 5.5 million tons (in 2025 – 4.9 million tons), and probable exports in 2025/2026 marketing year could be expected at around 2.3 million tons (last season – 1.5 million tons).
- Expectations for this year’s corn harvest are good due to currently favorable weather conditions. According to UZA’s estimate, the corn harvest will be 32.1 million tons (in 2025 – 31.1 million tons), and potential exports in the new season could reach 27 million tons, but again, under conditions of unimpeded logistics (last season – 21 million tons).
- The sunflower harvest in 2026 can be expected at 13.3 million tons (in 2025 – 11.1 million tons). Traditionally, almost all sunflower seeds will be processed in Ukraine – 13.5 million tons. Exports will not exceed 40 thousand tons.
- In 2026, the rapeseed harvest may reach 3.5 million tons (in 2025 – 3.2 million tons), while exports in 2025/2026 marketing year may amount to only 1.9 million tons, with the rest being processed in Ukraine.
- This year’s soybean harvest may be 4.6 million tons (in 2025 – 5 million tons). Potential exports in 2025/2026 marketing year could be 2.2 million tons (last season – 2.7 million tons), and the remainder will be processed in Ukraine, as its export is hindered by legislative restrictions, similar to rapeseed.
Alla Husarova, SuperAgronom.com
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